Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.2%
Famalicao
29.3%
Draw
19.5%
Vitória Guimarães
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Famalicao
vs
0.77
Vitória Guimarães
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.4%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).