Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.2%
Burgos
28.6%
Draw
19.2%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Burgos
vs
0.67
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS35.6%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.531.9%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.2%
0-0
13.6%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
11.9%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
3-1
3.5%
0-2
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).