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15 Jan 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.3%
Blackburn
33.3%
Draw
28.4%
Portsmouth

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Blackburn

vs
0.88

Portsmouth

Markets

BTTS39.7%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.531.2%
Over 3.513.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.3%
1-1
14.5%
1-0
14.0%
0-1
11.4%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).