Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.5%
Las Palmas
25.6%
Draw
24.8%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Las Palmas
vs
0.99
Santander
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.2%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).