Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.1%
Crotone
29.2%
Draw
32.7%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Crotone
vs
1.21
Perugia
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).