Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.4%
Ternana
28.2%
Draw
50.4%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Ternana
vs
1.53
Monza
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
0-1
12.1%
0-2
10.1%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).