Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.0%
Solihull
25.6%
Draw
42.3%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Solihull
vs
1.65
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
6.4%
1-0
5.7%
0-0
5.6%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).