Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.6%
AFC Wimbledon
32.1%
Draw
27.3%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.75
Colchester
Markets
BTTS32.9%
Over 0.583.2%
Over 1.551.7%
Over 2.525.6%
Over 3.510.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.8%
0-0
16.8%
0-1
13.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
3-0
2.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).