⚽ FootballData
Dundee

Home

4 – 2
HHT: 10CSV

12 Aug 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
55.7%
Dundee
24.7%
Draw
19.6%
Arbroath

Expected Goals (xG)

1.98

Dundee

vs
1.13

Arbroath

Markets

BTTS59.9%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
6.0%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-2
3.7%
0-1
3.4%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).