Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Sunderland
32.7%
Draw
26.6%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Sunderland
vs
0.87
Swansea
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.560.6%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.6%
1-1
14.4%
1-0
14.2%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
5.1%
3-0
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).