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HHT: 30CSV

14 May 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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86.4%
Juventus
9.5%
Draw
4.1%
Sampdoria

Expected Goals (xG)

3.04

Juventus

vs
0.55

Sampdoria

Markets

BTTS40.0%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.569.4%
Over 3.548.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
13.0%
2-0
12.8%
4-0
9.8%
1-0
8.5%
3-1
7.1%
2-1
7.0%
5-0
6.0%
4-1
5.4%
1-1
4.5%
5-1
3.3%
0-0
2.7%
3-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).