Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →89.9%
Barcelona
7.3%
Draw
2.8%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
3.57
Barcelona
vs
0.59
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.592.0%
Over 2.578.3%
Over 3.559.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.9%
4-0
10.6%
2-0
10.0%
5-0
7.6%
3-1
7.0%
4-1
6.2%
2-1
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
5-1
4.4%
1-1
3.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).