Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.2%
Crystal Palace
30.3%
Draw
36.6%
Newcastle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Crystal Palace
vs
1.31
Newcastle
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
9.7%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).