Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Brescia
34.5%
Draw
21.8%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Brescia
vs
0.70
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS34.7%
Over 0.582.1%
Over 1.554.8%
Over 2.526.8%
Over 3.510.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.9%
1-0
17.0%
1-1
14.0%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
4.4%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).