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HHT: 10CSV

05 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.0%
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33.6%
Draw
17.4%
Braintree Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

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vs
0.57

Braintree Town

Markets

BTTS30.9%
Over 0.581.2%
Over 1.552.5%
Over 2.525.0%
Over 3.59.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
19.5%
0-0
18.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
11.8%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-0
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
0-2
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
2-2
1.9%
4-0
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).