Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.2%
Lorient
14.9%
Draw
12.8%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
2.79
Lorient
vs
1.12
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS63.2%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.574.9%
Over 3.554.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-0
7.2%
1-1
6.1%
1-0
5.7%
4-1
5.7%
4-0
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-2
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
4-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).