Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.3%
Osasuna
25.5%
Draw
28.1%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Osasuna
vs
1.19
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
6.9%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).