Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.7%
Sevilla
13.2%
Draw
7.1%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.82
Sevilla
vs
0.76
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.569.4%
Over 3.548.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.1%
3-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
4-0
7.4%
1-1
6.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-0
4.2%
2-2
3.2%
5-1
3.2%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).