Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.2%
Red Star
23.9%
Draw
21.9%
Martigues
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Red Star
vs
0.85
Martigues
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
8.3%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).