Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.3%
Cambridge
21.5%
Draw
42.2%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Cambridge
vs
1.68
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS63.1%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.6%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).