Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Leganes
30.2%
Draw
26.6%
Numancia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Leganes
vs
0.83
Numancia
Markets
BTTS38.4%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.558.7%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.513.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.0%
0-1
11.6%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).