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25 Apr 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.6%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
30.0%
Draw
36.3%
Tottenham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Wolverhampton Wanderers

vs
1.31

Tottenham

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).