Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.6%
Barnet
23.6%
Draw
19.8%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Barnet
vs
0.85
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
2-0
11.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).