Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.1%
Bournemouth
21.8%
Draw
17.0%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
Bournemouth
vs
1.14
Burnley
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.544.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
3-0
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
0-0
4.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
4.1%
4-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).