Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.2%
Logrones
24.3%
Draw
45.5%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Logrones
vs
1.60
Castellon
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
7.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).