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DHT: 01CSV

21 Aug 2021 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.1%
Greuther Furth
32.0%
Draw
37.0%
Bielefeld

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Greuther Furth

vs
1.09

Bielefeld

Markets

BTTS42.3%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-0
13.6%
0-1
12.9%
1-0
11.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).