Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.0%
Cremonese
20.3%
Draw
11.7%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Cremonese
vs
0.82
Bari
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
8.7%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.8%
4-0
4.8%
2-2
4.0%
4-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
0-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).