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27 Aug 2023 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.0%
Amorebieta
29.0%
Draw
37.0%
Andorra

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Amorebieta

vs
1.12

Andorra

Markets

BTTS43.8%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.8%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
11.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.8%
0-3
2.6%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).