Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.3%
Morecambe
16.9%
Draw
71.8%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Morecambe
vs
2.26
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.5%
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.4%
1-1
8.0%
1-3
7.1%
0-4
5.3%
0-0
4.5%
1-0
4.1%
1-4
4.0%
2-2
3.6%
2-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).