Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.8%
Barnet
23.3%
Draw
10.9%
Chorley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Barnet
vs
0.61
Chorley
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
14.6%
1-1
10.6%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
4.5%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).