Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.1%
Paris FC
30.6%
Draw
30.2%
Angers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Paris FC
vs
0.85
Angers
Markets
BTTS35.5%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.554.6%
Over 2.528.4%
Over 3.511.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.6%
0-0
14.9%
0-1
14.0%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).