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23 Sept 2025 · 18:30

Gent

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.4%
Anderlecht
22.9%
Draw
26.7%
Gent

Expected Goals (xG)

1.93

Anderlecht

vs
1.36

Gent

Markets

BTTS63.8%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.541.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
7.0%
1-0
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
3-2
4.1%
0-0
4.1%
0-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).