Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.8%
Villarreal B
26.8%
Draw
50.4%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Villarreal B
vs
1.43
Espanol
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
10.3%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).