Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.2%
Ajaccio
16.0%
Draw
76.8%
Strasbourg
Expected Goals (xG)
0.47
Ajaccio
vs
2.14
Strasbourg
Markets
BTTS32.7%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
16.8%
0-1
16.1%
0-3
12.0%
1-2
7.9%
1-1
7.0%
0-0
6.9%
0-4
6.4%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
3.9%
1-4
3.0%
0-5
2.8%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).