Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.7%
Queens Park Rangers
27.3%
Draw
36.0%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Queens Park Rangers
vs
1.37
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
8.0%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
7.3%
2-0
6.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).