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15 Jan 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.1%
Auxerre
19.5%
Draw
18.4%
Bordeaux

Expected Goals (xG)

1.99

Auxerre

vs
0.96

Bordeaux

Markets

BTTS52.6%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
10.0%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
0-0
4.4%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).