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21 Apr 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.8%
Huddersfield
29.1%
Draw
27.1%
Barnsley

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Huddersfield

vs
1.04

Barnsley

Markets

BTTS49.5%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).