Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.3%
Union Berlin
25.4%
Draw
49.3%
Stuttgart
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Union Berlin
vs
1.73
Stuttgart
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.6%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.7%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).