Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.1%
Nacional
31.8%
Draw
41.1%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Nacional
vs
1.15
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.3%
1-1
14.1%
0-0
13.9%
1-0
10.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).