Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.9%
Millwall
18.6%
Draw
7.5%
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Millwall
vs
0.55
Sheffield Wednesday
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.6%
1-0
14.0%
3-0
11.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
3.3%
0-1
3.1%
5-0
2.6%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).