Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.2%
Sheffield Weds
32.0%
Draw
47.8%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.22
Charlton
Markets
BTTS36.2%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.557.9%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.1%
0-0
15.7%
1-1
13.4%
0-2
11.0%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
0-3
4.5%
2-1
4.3%
2-0
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
0-4
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).