Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.4%
Southend
25.7%
Draw
23.9%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Southend
vs
0.83
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
10.4%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).