Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.7%
Estoril
14.7%
Draw
13.6%
Vizela
Expected Goals (xG)
2.84
Estoril
vs
1.20
Vizela
Markets
BTTS65.5%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.576.8%
Over 3.557.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.7%
1-1
5.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-0
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
4-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).