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AHT: 00CSV

25 Nov 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.2%
Hull
25.0%
Draw
48.8%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Hull

vs
1.79

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS60.6%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
7.6%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
5.7%
0-0
5.6%
1-0
5.1%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).