Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.7%
Rotherham
27.3%
Draw
36.0%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Rotherham
vs
1.07
Exeter
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
0-1
13.5%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
3-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).