Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.3%
Middlesbrough
27.5%
Draw
21.2%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Middlesbrough
vs
0.90
Swansea
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.5%
2-0
10.3%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).