Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.4%
Charlton
30.4%
Draw
40.2%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Charlton
vs
1.25
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
11.2%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).