Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.7%
Leeds
26.8%
Draw
36.5%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Leeds
vs
1.55
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS63.8%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-2
6.5%
0-0
5.9%
1-0
5.4%
0-1
5.4%
2-0
5.4%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).