⚽ FootballData
3 – 1
HHT: 20CSV

14 May 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
21.6%
Wolfsburg
20.8%
Draw
57.5%
Stuttgart

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Wolfsburg

vs
2.30

Stuttgart

Markets

BTTS68.0%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.571.2%
Over 3.550.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.2%
1-1
8.6%
1-3
7.1%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
0-1
5.2%
0-3
5.1%
2-3
4.9%
1-4
4.1%
0-0
3.1%
0-4
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).