⚽ FootballData
AGF

Home

4 – 1
HHT: 20

31 Aug 2025 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
73.4%
AGF
15.6%
Draw
11.0%
Fredericia

Expected Goals (xG)

2.85

AGF

vs
1.08

Fredericia

Markets

BTTS62.6%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.575.1%
Over 3.555.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
2-0
8.0%
3-0
7.6%
1-1
6.5%
4-1
5.8%
4-0
5.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-2
4.4%
5-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).